U.S. Economy
product at lower prices than they do at higher prices. Sellers are just
the opposite. They hope to sell at high prices, and typically they will
be willing to produce and sell more units of a product at higher prices
than at lower prices.
The price for a product is determined in the market if prices are allowed
to rise and fall, and are not legally required to be above some minimum
price floor or below some maximum price ceiling. When a product, for
example, a personal computer, reaches the market, consumers learn what
producers want to charge for it and producers learn what consumers are
willing to pay. The interaction of producers and consumers quickly
establishes what the market price for the computer will actually be. Some
people who were considering buying a computer decide that the price is
higher than they are willing to pay. And some producers may determine
that consumers are not willing to pay a price high enough for them
profitably to produce and sell this computer.
But all of the buyers who are willing and able to pay the market price
get the computer, and all of the sellers willing and able to produce it
for this price find buyers. If more consumers want to buy a computer at a
specific market price than there are suppliers are willing to sell at
that price—or in other words, if the quantity demanded is greater than
the quantity supplied—the price for the computer increases. When
producers try to sell more of their computers at a price higher than
consumers are willing to buy, the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity
demanded and the price falls.
The price stops rising or falling at the price where the amount consumers
are willing and able to buy is just equal to the amount sellers are
willing and able to produce and sell. This is called the market clearing
price. Market clearing prices for many goods and services change
frequently, for reasons that will be discussed below. But some market
prices are stable for long periods of time, such as the prices of candy
bars and sodas sold in vending machines, and the prices of pizzas and
hamburgers. Most buyers of these products have come to know the general
price they will have to pay for these items. Sellers know what prices
they can charge, given what consumers will pay and considering the
competition they face from other sellers of identical, or very similar,
products.
A System of Markets for All Goods and Services
How markets determine price is simple enough to understand for a single
good or service in a single location. But consider what happens when
there are markets for nearly all of the goods and services produced and
consumed in an economy, across the entire country. In that context, this
reasonably simple process of setting market prices allows an economic
system as large and complex as the U.S. economy to operate with great
efficiency and a high degree of freedom for consumers and producers.
Efficiency here means producing what consumers want to buy, at prices
that are as low as they can be for producers to stay in business. And it
turns out this efficiency is directly linked to the freedom that buyers
and sellers have in a market economy. No central authority has to decide
how many shirts or cars or sandwiches to produce each day, or where to
produce them, or what price to charge for them. Instead, consumers spend
their money for the products that give them the most satisfaction, and
they try to find the best deal they can in terms of price, quality,
convenience, assurances that defective products will be replaced or
repaired, or other considerations.
What consumers are willing and able to buy tells producers what they
should produce, if they hope to make a profit. Usually consumers have
many options to choose from, because more than one producer offers the
same or reasonably similar products (such as two or more kinds of cars,
colas, and carpets). Producers then compete energetically for the dollars
that consumers spend.
Competition among producers determines the best ways to produce a good or
service. For example, in the early 1900s automobiles were made largely by
hand, one at a time. But once Henry Ford discovered how to lower the cost
of producing cars by using assembly lines, other car makers had to adopt
the same production methods or be driven out of business (as many were).
Competition also determines what features and quality standards go into
products. And competition holds down the costs of production because
producers know that consumers compare their prices to the prices charged
by other firms and for other products they might buy. In markets where a
large number of producers compete, inefficient producers will be driven
out of the market.
For example, at one time most towns and cities had independently owned
cafes and drive-in restaurants that sold hamburgers, french fries, and
soft drinks. Some of these businesses are still operating, but many
closed down after larger fast-food chains began opening local franchises
all around the nation, with well-known product standards and relatively
low prices. The increased competition led to prices that were too low for
many of the old cafes and drive-ins to make a profit. The private cafes
that did survive were able to meet that level of efficiency, or they
managed to make their products different enough from the national chains
to keep their customers.
Prices for goods and services can only fall so far, however. Even the
most efficient producers have to pay for the natural resources, labor,
capital, and entrepreneurship they use to make and sell products. The
market price cannot stay below the level of those costs for long without
driving all of the producers out of this market. Therefore, if consumers
want to buy some good or service not just today but also in the future,
they have to pay a price at least high enough to cover the costs of
producing it, including enough profit to make it worthwhile for sellers
to stay in that market.
Once market prices for various goods and services are set, consumers are
free to choose what to buy, and producers are free to choose what to
produce and sell. They both follow their self-interest and do what makes
them as well off as they can be. When all buyers and sellers do that in
an economic system of competitive markets, the overall economy will also
be very efficient and responsive to individual preferences.
This economic process is extremely decentralized. For example, it is
likely that no one person or government agency knows how many corned beef
sandwiches are sold in any large U.S. city on any given day. Individual
sellers decide how many sandwiches they are likely to sell and arrange to
have enough meat and bread available to meet the demand from their
customers.
Consumers usually do not make up their mind about what to eat for lunch
or dinner until they walk into the restaurant, grocery store, or sandwich
shop. But they know they can go to several different places and choose
many different things to eat and drink, while individual sellers know
about how much they are likely to sell on an average business day.
Other businesses sell bread and meat and drinks to the restaurants and
grocers, but they do not really know how many different sandwiches the
different food stores are selling either. They only know how much bread
and meat they need to have on hand to satisfy the orders they get from
their customers.
Each buyer and seller knows his or her small part of the market very well
and makes choices carefully to avoid wasting money and other resources.
When everyone acts this carefully while facing competition from other
consumers or producers, the overall system uses its scarce resources very
efficiently. Efficiency implies two things here: taking into account the
preferences and alternative choices that individual buyers and sellers
face, and producing goods and services at the lowest possible cost.
How and Why Market Prices Change
Another advantage of any competitive market system is a high level of
flexibility and speed in responding to changing economic conditions. In
economies where government agencies and central planners set prices, it
often takes much longer to adjust prices to new conditions. In the last
decades of the 20th century, the U.S. market economy has made these
adjustments very quickly, even compared with other market economies in
Western Europe, Canada, and Japan.
Market prices change whenever something causes a change in demand (the
amount people are willing to buy at different prices) or a change in
supply (the amount producers are willing and able to make and sell at
different prices). see Supply and Demand. Because these changes can occur
rapidly, with little or no advance warning, it is important for both
consumers and producers to understand what can cause prices to rise and
fall. Those who anticipate price changes correctly can often gain
financially from their foresight. Those who do not understand why prices
have changed are likely to feel bewildered and frustrated, and find it
more difficult to know how to respond to changing prices. Market
economies are, in fact, sometimes called price systems. It is important
to understand why prices rise and fall to understand how a market system
works.
Changes in Demand
Demand for most products changes whenever there is a significant change
in the level of consumers’ income. In the United States, incomes have
risen substantially over the past 200 years. As that happened, the demand
for most goods and services also increased. There are, however, a few
products that people buy less of as income falls. Examples of these
inferior goods include low quality foods and fabrics.
Demand for a product also changes when the price of a substitute product
changes. For example, if the price for one brand of blue jeans sharply
increases while other brands do not, many consumers will switch to the
other brands, so the demand for those brands will increase. Conversely,
if the price for beef drops, then many people will buy less pork and
chicken.
Some products are complements rather than substitutes. Complements are
products that are consumed together, for example cameras and film, or
tennis balls and tennis rackets. When the price of a complementary good
rises, the demand for a product falls. For example, if the price of
cameras rises, the demand for film will fall. On the other hand, if the
price of a complementary good falls, the demand for a product will rise.
If the price of tennis rackets falls, for example, more people will buy
rackets and the demand for tennis balls will increase.
Demand can also increase or decrease as a product goes in or out of
style. When famous athletes or movie stars create a popular new look in
clothing or tennis shoes, demand soars. When something goes out of style,
it soon disappears from stores, and eventually from people’s closets,
too.
If people expect the price of something to go up in the future, they
start to buy more of the product now, which increases demand. If they
believe the price is going to fall in the future, they wait to buy and
hope they were right. Sometimes these choices involve very serious
decisions and large amounts of money. For example, people who buy stocks
on the stock market are hoping that prices will rise, while at least some
of the people selling those stocks expect the prices to fall. But not all
economic decisions are this serious. For example, in the 1970s there was
a brief episode when toilet paper disappeared from the shelves of grocery
stores, because people were afraid that there were going to be shortages
and rising prices. It turns out that some of these unfounded fears were
based on remarks made by a comedian on a late-night talk show.
The final factor that affects the demand for most goods and services is
the number of consumers in the market for a product. In cities where
population is rising rapidly, the demand for houses, food, clothing, and
entertainment increases dramatically. In areas where population is
falling—as it has in many small towns where farm populations are
shrinking—demand for these goods and services falls.
Changes in Supply
The supply of most products is also affected by a number of factors. Most
important is the cost of producing products. If the price of natural
resources, labor, capital, or entrepreneurship rises, sellers will make
less profit and will not be as motivated to produce as many units as they
were before the cost of production increased. On the other hand, when
production costs fall, the amount producers are willing and able to sell
increases.
Technological change also affects supply. A new invention or discovery
can allow producers to make something that could not be made before. It
could also mean that producers can make more of a product using the same
or fewer inputs. The most dramatic example of technological change in the
U.S. economy over the past few decades has been in the computer industry.
In the 1990s, small computers that people carry to and from work each day
were more powerful and many times less expensive than computers that
filled entire rooms just 20 to 30 years earlier.
Opportunities to make profits by producing different goods and services
also affect the supply of any individual product. Because many producers
are willing to move their resources to completely different markets,
profits in one part of the economy can affect the supply of almost any
other product. For example, if someone running a barbershop decided to
sign a contract to provide and operate the machines that clean runways at
a large airport, this would decrease the supply of haircutting services
and increase the supply of runway sweeping services.
When suppliers believe the price of the good or service they provide is
going to rise in the future, they often wait to sell their product,
reducing the current supply of the product. On the other hand, if they
believe that the price is going to fall in the future, they try to sell
more today, increasing the current supply. We see this behavior by large
and small sellers. Examples include individuals who are thinking about
selling a house or car, corn and wheat farmers deciding whether to sell
or store their crops, and corporations selling manufactured products or
reserves of natural resources.
Finally, the number of sellers in a market can also affect the level of
supply. Generally, markets with a larger number of sellers are more
competitive and have a greater supply of the product to be sold than
markets with fewer sellers. But in some cases, the technology of
producing a product makes it more efficient to produce large quantities
at just a few production sites, or perhaps even at just one. For example,
it would not make sense to have two or more water and sewage companies
running pipes to every house and business in a city. And automobiles can
be produced at a much lower cost in large plants than in small ones,
because large plants can take greater advantage of assembly-line
production methods.
All these different factors can lead to changes in what consumers demand
and what producers supply. As a result, on any given day prices for some
things will be rising and those for others will be falling. This creates
opportunities for some individuals and firms, and problems for others.
For example, firms producing goods for which the demand and the price are
falling may have to lay off workers or even go out of business. But for
the economy as a whole, allowing prices to rise and fall quickly in
response to changes in any of the market forces that affect supply and
demand offers important advantages. It provides an extremely flexible and
decentralized system for getting goods and services produced and
delivered to households while responding to a vast number of
unpredictable changes.
Creative Destruction
Taking advantage of new opportunities while curtailing production of
things that are no longer in demand or no longer competitive was
described as the process of creative destruction by 20th century Austrian-
American economist Joseph Schumpeter. For example, Schumpeter discussed
how the United States, Britain, and other market economies helped many
new businesses to grow by building systems of canals (such as the Erie
Canal) during the mid-19th century. But then the canal systems were
replaced or “destroyed” by the railroads, which in turn saw their role
diminished with the rise of national systems of highways and airports.
The same thing happened in the communications industry in the United
States. The Pony Express, which carried mail between Missouri and
California in the early 1860s, went out of business with the completion
of telegraph lines to California. In the 20th century, the telegraph was
replaced by the telephone. Time and time again, one decade’s innovation
is partially replaced or even destroyed by the next round of
technological change.
In the modern world, prices change not only as a result of things that
happen in one country, but increasingly because of changes that happen in
other countries, too. International change affects production patterns,
wages, and jobs in the U.S. economy. Sometimes these changes are
triggered by something as simple as weather conditions someplace else in
the world that affect the production of grain, coffee, sugar, or other
crops. Sometimes it reflects political or financial upheavals in Europe,
Asia, or other parts of the world. There have been several examples of
such events in the U.S. economy in the 1990s. Higher coffee prices
occurred after poor harvests of coffee beans in South America, and U.S.
banks lost large sums of money following financial and political crises
in places such as Indonesia and Russia.
The ability to respond quickly to an increasingly volatile economic and
political environment is, in many ways, one of the greatest strengths of
the U.S. economic system. But these changes can result in hardships for
some people or even some large segments of the economy. For example,
importing clothing produced in other nations has benefited U.S. consumers
by keeping clothing prices lower. In addition, it has been profitable for
the firms that import and sell this clothing. However, it has also
reduced the number of jobs available in clothing manufacturing for U.S.
workers.
Many people think the most important general issue facing the U.S.
economy today is how to balance the benefits of quickly adapting to
changing economic conditions against the costs of abandoning the old
ways. It is vital for the economy to adapt quickly to changing conditions
and to focus on producing goods and services that will meet the most
recent demands of the market place. However, when businesses close
because their products no longer meet the demands of the market, it is
important to make retraining or new jobs available to workers who lost
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