Russian Federation Country Study. A Public Finance Perspective
the Soviet safety net. Real wages, however did not compensate for
inflation. The decline in social welfare from a monetary angle was
compounded by quality decline in social consumption areas. Although the
state increase subsides to social consumption areas, the collapse of the
Council on Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA) which provided much of the
USSR's medicine and medical supplies and a growing environmental movement
which forced the closure of many chemical plant that supplied the limited
domestic market. Gorbachev's attempts at reforms destroyed not only the
social contract which existed between the state and its citizens but the
USSR as well. The late Soviet period thus provides the starting point for
examining poverty and the Russian Federations response to it in the form of
the social safety net.
The Soviet social welfare system was effective in that absolute poverty, i.
e. wide spread hunger or inadequate diet, was avoided in the latter years
of the Soviet period since the state could supply the basic needs of the
population through its control of USSR's resources and society as a whole.
Research into question of poverty and therefore poverty alleviation policy
(specifically the question of income inequality and distribution) was
hindered by the imposition of political rather than economic explanations.
In 1965, the Soviet Labor Research Institute adopted a social minimum
income norm which was derived from the estimated costs of human
consumption. Goskomstat revised the income level based on the prices
reported by state-owned stores. The price consumers were faced with,
however, due to their shopping habits, the existence of a black market,"
and inflationary pressures dramatically reduced their purchasing power. The
Russian Federation revised the poverty line in 1992 to encompass the age
and gender of individual households. The six categories are: children under
six years of age children between the ages of 6 and 17, men between the
ages of 18 and 59, women between the ages of 18 and 54, men age 60 and
above, and women age 55 and older
Closer to the U.S poverty line definition, the Russian poverty level is
established by first collecting low-cost cost food baskets for each
demographic group... [and] after pricing each market food basket at
national prices, age, and gender-specific multipliers yield individual
poverty line for each demographic group. The definition of poverty is
critically important to social welfare of Russia because, in theory, it
sets pension, minimum wage level, and welfare payments. The USSR's
dissolution has altered the scope, source and method of financing of social
welfare programs. The Soviet state provided a broad range of social
services, through state owned enterprise. From a public finance
perspective, the transition to a more market oriented system has meant the
diversification of social spending responsibility through the creation of
off-budgetary funds (OBF) and passing down the bulk of public social
spending mandates to sub-national governments. The following are the major
OBFs: Pension Fund, Social Insurance Fund, Employment Fund, and the Fund
for Social Support.
Created in 1991, the Pension Fund was designed to take pressure of federal
budget and is authorized to collect a mandatory payment from employers in
the form of a mandatory 28 percent contribution while from agricultural
enterprises the mandatory contribution is 20. 6 percent and 5 percent of
the total income of self-employed individuals. Employees make a 1 percent
contribution to the Fund. Labor pensions, financed from these contribution,
and social pension which are financed from the federal budget are
administered by an independent government agency. The former constitute the
majority (80 percent) of Russian pensioners and thus the level of labor
pensions affect the lives 19. 5 percent of the Russian population. To be
eligible for labor pensions, men must have made 25 years worth of
contributions while women must have made 20 years of contribution.
Eligibility for labor pensions can be lower depending on occupation--
hazardous occupations such as coal mining and military service are two
examples. Social pensions are for individual with less than 5 years of work
experience and is equal two-thirds of the minimum old-age pension or in the
case of disability the amount varies but does not exceed the minimum labor
pension.
Payroll contributions are the also the main source of funding for the
Social Insurance Fund (SIF) and the Employment Fund. Created in August
1992, the SIF is funded by a 5.4 percent payroll deduction from every
worker. The SIF is intended to fund child care, maternal care benefits, and
sick care. Generally, 74 percent of revenue collected from the SIF
contributions remains with the enterprise while the remainder is sent to
the center to finance federal responsibilities. Workers who have accrued
eight or more years of experience receive their entire salary as do
Chernobyl victims, parents with three or more children, and war victims.
Workers with less that five years experience receive 60 percent of their
salaries while those with between five and eight years experience receive
80 percent of their salaries. It is accepted practice that benefits are
paid until the worker recovers or is granted a disability pension.
Mothers receive support through a maternity grant which equals five times
the amount of the present minimum wage. Additionally, working mothers
receive a maternity allowance, over the span of 126 days, which is
equivalent to her entire salary. When this time has elapsed, the mother can
receive a payments that equals the minimum wage for up to a year and half.
The expenditure responsibility for family benefits, which generally are
divided into the following broad categories: payment made to all families
with children without regard to income or prerequisites, cash transfers to
disadvantaged families, and payments made to working mothers, is unequally
shared among all three levels of government. Although the national level
contributes, it mandates the levels of benefits while often leaving it to
the sub-national governments to finance the increase.
Unemployment in the region in a relatively new phenomena due to the general
nature of the Soviet system. The Employment Fund was created in 1992 to pay
unemployment benefits to those affected by the transition to a market
economy. Contribution to the fund comes from a mandatory two percent
payroll deduction and budget transfers. Revenue collected from the payroll
tax is shared between the raion and oblast governments on a 45 percent to
55 percent ratio. The former then remits 10 percent to the center for
federal responsibilities. Benefits, from Western perspective, are
considered generous. Individuals just entering the work force receive the
minimum wage. Workers who have been laid of receive in the first three
months receive a cash benefit equal to 75 percent of their previous salary.
The benefits level drops to 60 percent for the following six months and 45
percent for the remainder of the year.
The Fund for Social Support ( FFS) is a limited national source for sub-
national funding of social programs. In 1992, the FFS accounted for only
.01 percent of GDP. The stated purpose of this fund is to aid rayons that
have been particularly hard hit in the transition from a command economy.
The FFS began operations in 1992 with revenue from seized Party assets and
tax from re-appraised inventories. It is also supposed to receive revenue
form the privatization process (although it did not receive the ten percent
assigned in 1992) and "receipts from the revaluation of commodities in
state stores and ruble receipts from sale of food aid."
Although inflation increases revenue to the Russian government, it
naturally impoverishes the population when adjustments are not made (or
insufficient to deal adequately with inflation) to monetary benefits such
as the minimum wage and pensions which provides the basis for the social
safety net. Inflation was one of the primary causes of poverty in Russia.
As chart A5 shows, social subsidies and transfers have also been
ineffective because they do not reach the truly needy. The primary reason
for this economic waste is the lack of means based testing.
The problem of hyper-inflation which had plagued Russia earlier in the
transition period has been replaced" by the dramatic reduction in real
wages and severe dilemma of arrears. By December 1995, real wages declined
by 13 percent and real consumption declined by 5.3 percent. Real wage
decline, and unexpectedly low levels of unemployment, can be attributed to
evasion of excess wage tax and inside the gate employment" by which
enterprise managers hoard labor by paying minimum wage and compensation
workers in non-taxable manners such as payment in kind, low interest long-
term loans that have questionable repayment terms. It should be noted that
the Pension Fund is becoming more experienced in detecting methods of tax
avoidance and recent action has been taken to close loopholes
Reduced inflation has given way to arrears as one of the primary causes of
poverty in the Russian Federation and has primarily been the result of
international pressure to reduce the budget deficit by ending emission
based methods of covering the deficit" and tax avoidance and evasion.
According to ITAR-TASS, pensioner were owed nearly 3 billion dollars in
October 1996. Revealing the revenue gap, 22 regions were able to make
pension payments while the remaining 69 needed transfers from the federal
fund. Wage arrears for both private and public sector were estimated at 43
trillion rubles--9 billion of which was the state's responsibility.
An area of concern which was not addressed in 1992 and continues to be a
problem today is a rapidly deteriorating income distribution between the
regions of the Russian Federation. The disparities between the rich and
poor regions could possibly be the worst amongst all the federations.
CONCLUSION AND SUGGESTION
One of the greatest obstacles to successful Russian market economic
development is the absence of a modern and effective tax system and lack of
reliable data. Foreign capital always seeks predictability, especially in
terms of projecting tax liabilities. Lack of a stable tax regime is the
number one reason why Russia's direct foreign investment dollar level is so
low compared with other emerging markets. A frequent and common concern
expressed by foreign companies is the fear (whether real or perceived) of
an unstable, inequitable, unreliable, and unpredictable tax system in
Russia. As a result, capital that could potentially be invested in Russia
is instead invested in other countries that are perceived as enjoying more
stable tax systems. For Russia, it is time to introduce tax breaks or other
incentives by the end of the year for companies using international
accounting methods as part of a new business reform plan. For example,
companies which would follow these (international accounting) standards
will have their profit tax lowered by, say, five percent... or maybe they
will receive other privileges. Most Russian companies use domestic
accounting practices developed to calculate tax levels. Western accountants
say Russian accounting has limited use for business planning and
investment. Below, we have stated some suggestion and concerns regarding
public finance in transitional economies:
Before making any changes in the tax system the officials have to think
very carefully to avoid unplanned changes. For instance, the law on the VAT
has been changed 13 times since it was enacted. Proper tax reform would
also solve another of Russia's problems--its chronic budget deficit. The
country's inadequate system of tax revenue collection has been unable to
keep pace with the rise in government expenditure, leading to a budget
deficit of 6.3 per cent of GDP in the first half of this year. According to
Mr. Stuart Brown, eastern Europe economist at Paribas Capital Markets,
while fiscal policy has been lax in Russia, monetary policy has had to bear
the burden of reducing inflation. The result has been high real interest
rates. No wonder then that several leading companies are looking abroad for
capital. Reducing the budget deficit, to reduce "crowding out" at home and
allow fiscal policy to take some of the burden in controlling inflation,
must therefore be a priority for the Russian government. The problem is
that tax evasion and a culture of non-payment in Russian industry, will
hamper efforts to improve revenue collection.
Regulate the movement of budget money by reorganize the Russian treasury
and concentrate all budgetary financial flows within it.
A good approach to battling non-compliance would be the implementation of a
unified computer information system to control revenues and expenditures of
the federal budget and state extra-budgetary funds, which should contain
taxpayers registration system and bring together information on tax and
customs duties payments, banking transactions and cash disbursements, as
well as data on tracing and utilization of the federal budget resources.
But it is still difficult to implement. First, Russia does not have high
qualified specialists in database and management information systems (MIS).
Second, it will require buying expensive mainframe computers what is
critical under collected (60 percent - percent) revenue. It is also
important to decide what kind of tax information is going to be the first
to be put in the database. The State Tax Service of the Russian Federation
recently began this process by requiring all taxpayers to indicate a
personal taxpayer identification number (PTIN) on payments and settlement
documents for taxes and other levies beginning on August 1, 1995. The rule
as of January 1, 1996, states that a PTIN should be included on all payment
and settlement documents. Also Russia's State Taxation Service is
redoubling its efforts to stop commercial banks from hiding income from tax
authorities. The taxation service recently found that credit institutions
failed to transfer 3 trillion rubles to the state on time, and that they
have used legal means to hide their income. With the centralized computer
tax information system, it would be easier to observe taxpayers and prevent
tax evasion.
Reduce the cost of servicing the state debt.
Stop the emission of money.
Improve control over monopolies.
Reorganize the banking system. Set up a federal deposit of insurance bond.
Reform ministry of finance and economy.
Diversification of the tax base.
Some services should be financed by taxes levied on local beneficiaries.
"Local taxes" are those over which local authorities have some control.
Which taxes to assign? The question is not easy for Russia. In many market
economies, the central government controls those taxes considered to be
most redistributive, such as personal income taxes, and the cyclical
corporate income tax, leaving more stable revenue sources levied on a
consumption base or property to the local level. For example, some federal
systems (the U.S., Switzerland, Canada) allow subnational corporate taxes,
it would be better for the federal government to set the corporate income
tax. For the transition economies, considerations of both administrative
complexity and allocative efficiency suggest that subnationally levied
corporate taxes should be avoided at the present time. Permitting the many
small subnational governments in the transition economies to set corporate
tax rates (or adjust the tax base) will allow substantial tax competition
and differentiation in enterprise taxation, influencing enterprise location
decisions in perhaps undesirable directions.
.The development of a more efficient and effective social safety net in
perhaps the most immediate and difficult task to accomplish in the Russian
Federation. Aside from cultural reasons outlined earlier, economic growth
cannot occur without social stability which will not happen until Russia
can design an effective system of coverage. Some possible ways to improve
this critical area are: diversify the tax base for social programs,
redesign the system of federal-sub-national relation which has made the
latter bear an unjust amount of the burden--unfair because of regional
differences and compounded by Soviet planning--, and make stronger attempts
to reduce arrears which is a difficult task due to the temptation to return
to emission-based methods of covering expenditure requirements.
APPENDIX
| | | | | | |
|Table A1 Selected | | | | | |
|Economic | | | | | |
|Indicators, | | | | | |
|Average Annual | | | | | |
|Rate of Growth | | | | | |
| |1961-70 |1971-75 |1976-80 |1981-85 |1986-90 |
|1. Net material |6.4 |5.1 |3.9 |3.1 |4.1 |
|product (NMP), | | | | | |
|Soviet official* | | | | | |
|2. Gross national |5.1 |3.7 |2.1 |1.9 |C |
|product (GNP), CIA| | | | | |
|estimates* | | | | | |
|3. Gross fixed |6.9 |6.8 |3.5 |3.5 |4.9 |
|capital | | | | | |
|investment, Soviet| | | | | |
|official* | | | | | |
|4. Industrial |8.5 |7.4 |4.4 |3.7 |4.6 |
|output, Soviet | | | | | |
|official | | | | | |
|5. Industrial |6.6 |5.9 |2.4 |2.0 |C |
|output, CIA | | | | | |
|estimates b. | | | | | |
|6. Agricultural |C |2.5 |1.8 |1.0 |2.7 |
|output, Soviet | | | | | |
|official c. | | | | | |
|7. Agricultural |C |1.4 |0.4 |(-)0.6 |C |
|output, CIA | | | | | |
|estimates b.,c. | | | | | |
|8. Real income per|6.5 |4.3 |3.4 |2.1 |2.7 |
|capita, Soviet | | | | | |
|official | | | | | |
|9. Consumption per|3.8 |2.9 |2.0 |1.9 |C |
|capita, CIA | | | | | |
|estimates b. | | | | | |
| | | | | | |
|SOURCES: Soviet | | | | | |
|official data and | | | | | |
|plan goals, TSSU | | | | | |
|(1986) and earlier| | | | | |
|volumes in the | | | | | |
|same series; | | | | | |
|Pravda, March 9, | | | | | |
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